Publié: 2016 May 29 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 May 2016 | 087 | 013 |
| 30 May 2016 | 087 | 013 |
| 31 May 2016 | 087 | 005 |
Only B-class flares were observed during the last 24 hours. The strongest was a B7.2 flare peaking at 06:56UT (29 May) and produced by NOAA 2548. A long-duration B3.4 event (peaking at 03:21UT) had the spotless active region near the northeast limb as its source. The associated coronal mass ejection had no earth-directed component. Small region NOAA 2549 was stable and produced a B2 flare. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.
There remains a chance on an isolated C-class flare.
Earth remained under the weakening influence of a coronal hole (CH) high speed stream (HSS). Solar wind speed decreased from an initial range between 450 and 550 km/s to values between 400 and 450 km/s at the end of the observing period. Bz varied mostly between -6 and +6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was directed towards the Sun. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with Dourbes recording an active episode during the 21UT-interval.
Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected with the arrival of the HSS from the northern CH later today or tomorrow. There's a small chance on an isolated minor storming episode.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 031, sur la base de 11 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 088 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 022 |
| AK Wingst | 016 |
| Ap estimé | 018 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 032 - Basé sur 25 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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