Affichage des archives de mercredi, 13 juillet 2016

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2016 Jul 13 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
13 Jul 2016	093	015
14 Jul 2016	092	012
15 Jul 2016	090	019

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2564 (Macintosh class:Hax; Mag. type:Alpha) has shown some evidence of flux emergence in HMI magnetogram observations, but appears stable, this region may increase flaring activity. All other regions appeared stable. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. There is currently a large +ve polarity trans-equatorial northern polar coronal hole in the Western hemisphere. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours, with a reasonable probability of C-class flares and a low probability of M-class flares. The solar wind speed has fluctuated around 600 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated around 5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated around 0 nT, ranging between -5 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 2-4 (NOAA) and local K index 2-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. The large northern polar coronal hole in the Western hemisphere may increase solar wind speeds over the coming days, if coupled with negative Bz we may experience enhanced geomagnetic activity over the next few days.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 059, sur la base de 17 stations.

Indices solaires pour 12 Jul 2016

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	070
Flux solaire à 10 cm	092
AK Chambon La Forêt	020
AK Wingst	021
Ap estimé	022
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	061 - Basé sur 31 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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