Affichage des archives de dimanche, 29 janvier 2017

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2017 Jan 29 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
29 Jan 2017	079	003
30 Jan 2017	077	005
31 Jan 2017	076	019

Bulletin

Solar activity was low, with an isolated C2.8 flare produced by spotless region NOAA 2627 near the west limb on 28 January at 21:09UT. A new active region rotated over the east limb with only a few tiny spots. NOAA 2628 and NOAA 2629 were quiet. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Mostly quiet flaring conditions are expected, with a small chance on a C-class event.

Solar wind speed declined from 540 km/s to values around 460 km/s under the waning influence of the coronal hole's high speed stream (HSS). Bz fluctuated between -4 and +4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. A negative CH is transiting the central meridian (CM) and may start influencing the earth environment around 31 January, probably preceded by a sector boundary crossing (SBC).

The geomagnetic field was at quiet (Dourbes) to unsettled (Kp) levels. Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected till the arrival of the SBC and the CIR/HSS structure from the negative CH, when active episodes may become possible.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 033, sur la base de 09 stations.

Indices solaires pour 28 Jan 2017

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	///
Flux solaire à 10 cm	079
AK Chambon La Forêt	016
AK Wingst	010
Ap estimé	010
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	029 - Basé sur 27 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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