Publié: 2017 Feb 22 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2017 | 085 | 011 |
| 23 Feb 2017 | 085 | 031 |
| 24 Feb 2017 | 085 | 031 |
Solar activity was low with NOAA region 2638 (Catania groups 95 and 96), the only active region on disk, producing several B flares of which the strongest of magnitude B6.8 peaking at 1:51UT. The region appears to be fairly simple and flaring is expected to remain at B level. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph data. The proton flux values are at background levels and expected to remain so.
Solar wind speed fluctuated in the 400-450 km/s range. Total magnetic field gradually increased from 4nT to around 7nT. There was a period of persistent positive Bz and fluctuation in the magnetic field phi angle following a drop in temperature around 15:30 UT. But otherwise Bz was variable with negative peaks not lower than -5nT and the magnetic field phi angle stable in the positive sector. Solar wind speed is expected to pick up by tomorrow February 23 reaching around 600 km/s under the influence of the equatorial positive polarity coronal hole. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 1-3) with an isolated active period around midnight (only NOAA Kp 4). Over the next days active conditions are likely with also minor geomagnetic storms possible due to the expected high speed stream.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 028, sur la base de 09 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 050 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 083 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
| AK Wingst | 005 |
| Ap estimé | 004 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 027 - Basé sur 19 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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