Affichage des archives de lundi, 15 mai 2017

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2017 May 15 1231 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
15 May 2017	071	018
16 May 2017	071	029
17 May 2017	071	024

Bulletin

There are currently no sunspots groups on the visible hemisphere of the Sun. In the past 24 hours, no C flares were observed. Very low solar activity (no C flares) is expected in the next 24 hours. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR has increased from about 310 to 400 km/s in the past 24 hours, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between about 3 and 14 nT. This is probably due to the arrival of a high speed stream from a positive equatorial coronal hole. The Bz component is fluctuating heavily and reached a lowest value of about -10 nT for a very short time. Solar wind speed is expected to increase further within the next 24 hours. Late on May 16, a glancing blow from the partial halo CME of May 13 may enhance solar wind conditions further. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 4; NOAA Kp between 1 and 4) were registered in the past 24 hours. Due to the arrival of the high speed stream, quiet to active levels (K Dourbes < 5) are possible on May 15, 16 and 17, with a chance for minor geomagnetic storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 000, sur la base de 24 stations.

Indices solaires pour 14 May 2017

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	///
Flux solaire à 10 cm	///
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	012
Ap estimé	012
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	000 - Basé sur 30 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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