Publié: 2017 Jul 29 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2017 | 071 | 003 |
| 30 Jul 2017 | 075 | 009 |
| 31 Jul 2017 | 079 | 015 |
Solar activity was at very low levels, and is expected to remain so. A barely visible sunspot group (Catania 40) is at location N19W15. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is near background levels.
Old active region NOAA 2665 is expected to round the east limb on 31 July and may gradually increase the chance on a C-class flare already on 30 July. Also the 10.7 cm radio flux is expected to increase well before the region will actually become visible.
Solar wind speed varied steadily between 470-420 km/s, showing a generally declining trend (DSCOVR). Bz oscillated between -5 and +5 nT during the entire period. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. A small negative equatorial coronal hole (CH) transited the central meridian from 27 till 29 July.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels and is expected to remain so until the arrival of the particle stream associated with the aforementioned CH, which may start influencing the earth environment on 30 or 31 July, with active geomagnetic conditions possible.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 000, sur la base de 21 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 012 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 070 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
| AK Wingst | 010 |
| Ap estimé | 009 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 000 - Basé sur 20 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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