Publié: 2017 Aug 30 1237 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
No forecast
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2017 | 084 | 005 |
| 31 Aug 2017 | 083 | 040 |
| 01 Sep 2017 | 083 | 012 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. There are currently tree active regions on the visible discs, but only Catania group 47 (NOAA region 2674) produced small C-class flare. We expect the activity to remain low with a probability of few sporadic C-class flare.
No other Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery and the solar protons remains at background level.
A minor geomagnetic storm was observed on August, 29 with a peaking around 21:00 UT. This may be due to an Interplanetary CME that provoked a shock onto the Solar Wind on August, 29 around 16:00 UT. Currently, the geomagnetic conditions are returning to quiet with Kp (NOAA) and local K (Dourbes) indexes ranging between 1-2. A minor to moderated storm (K between 5 and 6) is expected on August, 31 when the fast solar wind coming from the large coronal hole crossing the central meridian on August 29 will reach Earth.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 048, sur la base de 19 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 051 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 084 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
| AK Wingst | 010 |
| Ap estimé | 011 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 036 - Basé sur 35 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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