Affichage des archives de jeudi, 16 novembre 2017

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2017 Nov 16 1351 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
16 Nov 2017	075	015
17 Nov 2017	076	015
18 Nov 2017	075	010

Bulletin

The only active region observed on the visible side of the solar disc, Catania sunspot group 63 (NOAA AR 2687), maintains beta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. However, Catania sunspot group 63 was source of only one low B-class flare and no C-class flares during last 24 hours. We expect such a low solar activity to persist in the coming hours. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours, and the solar protons remained at background level.

The solar wind speed was showing slow but constant increase since mid-day of November 15 (simultaneously with temperature increase and density decrease), and it now amounts about 500 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is presently about 5 nT, however longer intervals of its elevated value (up to 15 nT) were reported in the afternoon of November 15. All this indicates arrival of the fast solar wind associated with the low latitude extend of the northern polar corona hole (reached central meridian on November 11). The arrival of this fast flow induced disturbed geomagnetic conditions (local station at Dourbes reported intervals of K=4 yesterday evening and NOAA reported intervals of Kp=4 around midnight yesterday and early morning today). The fast flow associated with the low latitude extension of the southern polar coronal hole (reached central meridian in the late evening of November 13) is expected to arrive at the Earth tomorrow. The geomagnetic conditions are presently unsettled to active due to the influence of the fast solar wind. We expect unsettled to active conditions in the coming hours and also tomorrow evening (due to arrival of the fast solar wind associated with the low latitude extent of the southern polar coronal hole).

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 017, sur la base de 12 stations.

Indices solaires pour 15 Nov 2017

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	015
Flux solaire à 10 cm	074
AK Chambon La Forêt	026
AK Wingst	013
Ap estimé	014
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	014 - Basé sur 19 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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