Affichage des archives de mercredi, 20 décembre 2017

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2017 Dec 20 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
20 Dec 2017	070	008
21 Dec 2017	071	016
22 Dec 2017	071	007

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low with only a couple of low level B class flares from the only region on disk Catania sunspotgroup 67. The region is still fairly simple but has shown quite some growth this morning. Flaring is expected to remain below C level. A filament eruption is seen off the North Eastern hemisphere around 3:00UT. Coronagraph data are not yet available to assess the extent of the likely associated CME. Proton flux values are at background levels and expected to remain so.

Solar wind has recovered to background conditions with Solar wind speed dropping to 450 km/s by around 2:00 UT this morning and remained stable since. Total magnetic field has been fluctuating around 3-4nT with a variable Bz. A possible arrival of the December 15 CME is no longer expected. A transition into a negative sector is expected within the next 24 hours with then also the influence of the negative polarity equatorial coronal hole possibly setting in. However, the leading part of the coronal hole which passed the central meridian on December 18 is not likely to bring any strong effects. A more significant high speed stream influence is only expected 3-4 days from now from the trailing part of the coronal hole which only now starts passing the central meridian. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 1-3). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over the next days.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 011, sur la base de 06 stations.

Indices solaires pour 19 Dec 2017

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	011
Flux solaire à 10 cm	069
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	006
Ap estimé	005
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	007 - Basé sur 19 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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