Publié: 2018 Apr 20 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2018 | 073 | 035 |
| 21 Apr 2018 | 072 | 013 |
| 22 Apr 2018 | 072 | 009 |
The sunspot group which appeared from the behind of the East solar limb yesterday got numbered as Catania sunspot group 78 (NOAA AR 2706). This sunspot group was source of the all (low B-class), flaring activity during last 24 hours. We expect that Catania sunspot group 78 might be the source of the B-class flares and possibly also isolated C-class flare in the following 24 hours. There were no Earth directed CMEs observed since the last report and the solar protons remain at the background level.
The in situ observations showed sudden increase of the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude (IMF), solar wind speed, density and temperature at about 23:19 UT yesterday evening. All this indicates arrival of the shock wave, however presently it is still unclear if the shock wave will be followed by the ICME or this is a shock in the solar wind related with the expected arrival of the fast flow. The shock wave was followed by gradual increase of the solar wind speed and IMF. The fast solar wind (up to 515 km/s) and longer intervals of negative values of the Bz component of the IMF (down to -19 nT), resulted in the active to storm geomagnetic conditions reported this morning (local station at Dourbes reported K=5 and NOAA reported Kp=6). The solar wind speed is presently about 480 km/s and the IMF is about 14 nT. If the solar wind speed will continue to increase and the Bz component will show longer intervals with negative values we can expect continuation of the disturbed geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 015, sur la base de 27 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 012 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 071 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
| AK Wingst | 002 |
| Ap estimé | 002 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 007 - Basé sur 39 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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