Affichage des archives de vendredi, 8 février 2019

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2019 Feb 08 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
08 Feb 2019	070	020
09 Feb 2019	070	019
10 Feb 2019	070	007

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The visible solar disc was spotless, and the X-ray flux remained below B-level. Flaring conditions is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed coronal mass ejection has been observed. The greater than 10 MeV solar protons flux remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind speed reached a minimum (350 km/s) on Feb 8 around 04:00 UT, it then increased to about 475 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field strength remained below 6.5 nT during the 24-hour period, and the southward magnetic component fluctuated between -5.5 and 4.5 nT. This increase of the wind speed happened simultaneously with the sector boundary change from negative to positive polarity. It is probably due to the expected coming high-speed stream that pushes heads the current measured wind stream. A new sector boundary change from positive to negative polarity is expected later today with the arrival of the high-speed stream associated with the large patchy coronal hole (of negative polarity) that reached the central meridian on Feb 4.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet with several periods of unsettled activity. The Kp index ranged between 0-2 (NOAA) and the local K index 0-3 (Dourbes). The conditions are expected to remain mostly quiet with possible unsettled conditions periods for the next couples of hours, then active conditions with possible short periods of minor storm is expected with the arrival of the high-speed stream associated with the coronal hole that reached the central meridian on Feb 4.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 000, sur la base de 11 stations.

Indices solaires pour 07 Feb 2019

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	///
Flux solaire à 10 cm	070
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	006
Ap estimé	004
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	000 - Basé sur 26 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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