Affichage des archives de mercredi, 4 août 2021

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2021 Aug 04 1231 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
04 Aug 2021	076	004
05 Aug 2021	076	004
06 Aug 2021	076	004

Bulletin

Beta region NOAA 2850 showed signs of decay in the past 24 hours, and produced a B6.1 flare peaking at 6:23 UT on August 4. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 30%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR varied between about 300 and 375 km/s during the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was oriented predominantly away from the Sun, and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 8 nT, with current values around 4 nT. Bz was below -5 nT between about 20:00 and 21:00 UT on August 3, with a minimum of about -6 nT. Nominal solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on August 4, 5 and 6.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 016, sur la base de 20 stations.

Indices solaires pour 03 Aug 2021

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	015
Flux solaire à 10 cm	076
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	010
Ap estimé	012
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	016 - Basé sur 36 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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