Affichage des archives de jeudi, 27 janvier 2022

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2022 Jan 27 1232 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
27 Jan 2022	103	005
28 Jan 2022	104	007
29 Jan 2022	105	007

Bulletin

Solar activity was relatively quiet over the last 24 hours with a C1-class flare beside the number of sunspot groups visible on the disc. A new bipolar Catania sunspot group 19 (NOAA-AR 2938) has emerged close to the East limb. The other sunspot groups did not show any significant flaring activity. Solar activity is expected to remain slightly active with C-class flares in the next 24 hours and with a small probability of M-class flare.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) has been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the last 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is expected to be close to the threshold or just above in the next 24 hours due to the increase of the solar wind speed. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence dropped to nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to be at between nominal and is expected to be at between nominal and moderate levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters measured in the Earth environment (by DSCOVR) remained enhanced: the solar wind speed continued to increase from about 450 km/s to 525 km/s, the interplanetary magnetic field remained slightly elevated up to 7.6 nT, and its southward Bz-component fluctuated between -5.4 nT and 5.5 nT being manly positive. The enhanced measurements are associated with the effect from the solar high-speed stream connected to the Coronal Hole (positive magnetic polarity) that crossed the central meridian on January 21. The effect of the high-speed streams associated to the recurrent equatorial coronal hole facing Earth last January 26 (positive magnetic polarity) is expected to impact the solar wind conditions in about 2 days.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (K_Bel 1-3) and at planetary levels (NOAA-Kp 1-3). Quiet geomagnetic conditions with unsettled periods are expected to continue in response to the high-speed streams from an equatorial Coronal Hole (that crossed the central meridian on January 21).

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 079, sur la base de 09 stations.

Indices solaires pour 26 Jan 2022

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	083
Flux solaire à 10 cm	102
AK Chambon La Forêt	017
AK Wingst	012
Ap estimé	011
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	071 - Basé sur 19 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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