Affichage des archives de mardi, 24 octobre 2023

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2023 Oct 24 1233 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
24 Oct 2023	120	005
25 Oct 2023	122	006
26 Oct 2023	122	019

Régions solaires actives et éruptions solaires

Solar flaring activity was at low levels in the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a C1.5 flare, peaking at 19:58 on Oct 23, associated with NOAA AR 3468 (alpha class). NOAA ARs 3469 and 3471 decayed into a plage regions. NOAA AR 3470 (beta class) did not show any significant flaring activity. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at very low to low levels over the next 24 hours with a chance for C-class flares.

Éjection de masse coronale

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

Vent solaire

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters were reflecting near slow solar wind conditions. The solar wind speed ranged between 360 - 380 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was below 7 nT. The southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuated between -3 nT and 6 nT. Similar conditions are expected in the next 24 hours, with a small chance of a week enhancement on Oct 24 due to high-speed stream influence from the small negative polarity coronal hole, which crossed the central meridian on Oct 19. On Oct 26 solar wind parameters might be slightly elevated due to the arrival of a high-speed stream from a positive polarity equatorial coronal hole, that transited the central meridian on Oct 23.

Géomagnétisme

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (NOAA Kp: 0 to 1 and K-BEL: 0 to 2). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a small chance for isolated active periods on Oct 26 in response to the high-speed stream arrival associated with the small equatorial coronal hole (positive polarity) that transited the central meridian on Oct 23.

Niveaux de flux de protons

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Flux d'électrons sur l'orbite géostationnaire

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu threshold as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain below this threshold over the next days. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 040, sur la base de 12 stations.

Indices solaires pour 23 Oct 2023

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	057
Flux solaire à 10 cm	122
AK Chambon La Forêt	005
AK Wingst	002
Ap estimé	001
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	030 - Basé sur 16 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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