Affichage des archives de mercredi, 12 mars 2025

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2025 Mar 12 1231 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
12 Mar 2025	165	013
13 Mar 2025	170	014
14 Mar 2025	180	007

Régions solaires actives et éruptions solaires

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 1 M-class flare identified. The largest flare was a M1.1 flare (SIDC Flare 3800) peaking on March 11 at 13:04 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 431 (NOAA Active Region 4024). A total of 11 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 428 (NOAA Active Region 4019) is the most complex active region ( Beta-Delta).

Éjection de masse coronale

No new Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.

Vent solaire

The solar wind at the Earth is slow, with speeds around 460 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field slightly increased from 6 to 12 nT with the Bz reaching a minimum value of -10 nT. In the next 24h, the solar wind speed may increase due to the influence of the high-speed streams associated with the coronal holes (which reached the central meridian in March 10).

Géomagnétisme

Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels (Kp 4- and K Bel 4) early on March 12. Geomagnetic conditions may reach again active levels late on March 12, due to a high-speed stream arrival.

Niveaux de flux de protons

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Flux d'électrons sur l'orbite géostationnaire

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was above the 1000 pfu threshold on March 11 and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal level and is expected to remain so in the next days.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 156, sur la base de 11 stations.

Indices solaires pour 11 Mar 2025

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	///
Flux solaire à 10 cm	161
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	009
Ap estimé	011
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	141 - Basé sur 14 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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