Publié: 2025 Aug 29 1231 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 232 | 007 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | 234 | 007 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | 234 | 007 |
A total of 16 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Solar flaring activity was high over the past 24 hours, with 5 M-class flares identified. The largest flare was a M1.5 flare (SIDC Flare 5260) peaking on August 28 at 20:40 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 621 (NOAA Active Region 4203). Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares likely.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the last 24 hours.
A narrow equatorial negative polarity coronal hole crossed central meridian on 28 August, its associated high speed stream may be expected at the Earth on 1 September.
The Earth is inside slow solar wind with speeds around 400 km/s and interplanetary magnetic fields of about 7 nT (directed towards the Sun, negative polarity). Similar conditions can be expected for the coming 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (Kp between 0 and 3 and K_Bel 0 and 2). Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux has been below the 10 pfu threshold. It is expected to remain at nominal levels.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and 19 remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, similar conditions expected for the next 24 hours. The 24 h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 211, sur la base de 17 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 204 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 232 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
| AK Wingst | 007 |
| Ap estimé | 008 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 201 - Basé sur 15 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 1411 | 1416 | 1422 | ---- | M1.1 | 94/4197 | |||
| 28 | 1700 | 1711 | 1717 | ---- | M1.2 | 96/4203 | |||
| 28 | 1848 | 1903 | 1909 | S18E20 | M1.0 | SN | 94/4197 | ||
| 28 | 2030 | 2040 | 2046 | ---- | M1.5 | 96/4203 | |||
| 28 | 2030 | 2040 | 2046 | ---- | M1.5 | 96/4203 | |||
| 29 | 0409 | 0416 | 0418 | ---- | M1.0 | --/4203 |
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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