Affichage des archives de mardi, 7 octobre 2025

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2025 Oct 07 1235 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

Flux de 10 cmAp
07 Oct 2025132013
08 Oct 2025130012
09 Oct 2025125012

Régions solaires actives et éruptions solaires

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group 652 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 4233, Alpha magnetic configuration) and SIDC Sunspot Group 653 (NOAA AR 4232, Beta magnetic configuration) produced two flares each. The brightest flare of the last 24 hours was SIDC flare 5689, a C5 on 7 Oct at 11:29 UTC, and is associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 657 (NOAA AR 4236, Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration). More C-class flaring activity is expected in the next 24 hours.

Éjection de masse coronale

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

Vent solaire

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions feature a slow SW regime during the past 24 hours. The SW speed ranged from 370 to 480 km/s, while the interplanetary magnetic field (B) varied between 4 and 10 nT, and its North-South component (Bz) fluctuated between -8 and 6 nT. A similar pattern is expected for the next 24 hours.

Géomagnétisme

During the last 24 hours geomagnetic conditions were both globally and locally quiet to unsettled (NOAA Kp 2- to 3 and K BEL 2 to 3). They are expected to remain at the same level, both globally and locally, for the next 24 hours.

Niveaux de flux de protons

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours.

Flux d'électrons sur l'orbite géostationnaire

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 19 was well above the 1000 pfu threshold during the past 24 hours, with a peak value at 16000 pfu. Although it features a gradual decline, it is expected to remain above the 1000 pfu threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is at high levels since 4 Oct 23:10 UTC but also featured a gradual decline. It is expected to drop to moderate levels within the next 24 hours.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 125, sur la base de 09 stations.

Indices solaires pour 06 Oct 2025

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania///
Flux solaire à 10 cm133
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst006
Ap estimé005
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé150 - Basé sur 16 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

JourCommencerMaxFinLocForceOP10cmCatania/NOAATypes de sursaut radio
Aucun

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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