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Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2013 Jun 24 1302 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	strumień 10cm	Ap
24 Jun 2013	128	017
25 Jun 2013	128	019
26 Jun 2013	128	010

Skrót wiadomości

Solar activity has been active during the past 24 hours, featuring an M2.9 flare and two C flares, both from NOAA AR 11778. The M2.9 flare peaked at 20:56 UT on June 23, and the second C flare, peaking at 11:32 UT on June 24, was a C9.9 flare. More C flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a high chance for an M flare from AR 11778. The 10 MeV protons were above the 10 pfu threshold from 20h UT on June 23 till 9h UT on June 24, and are slowly declining again. A large flare could however push the proton flux back above this threshold, which is why we issue a proton warning condition. The solar wind is still in a coronal hole high speed stream regime, with solar wind speeds gradually decreasing from around 600 km/s to approximately 550 km/s.The IMF ranged between 2 and 8 nT. Solar wind speeds are expected to remain high, but continue their gradual decrease on June 24, 25 and 26. Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to active levels (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) during the past 24 hours. Quiet to active conditions (K Dourbes < 5) are expected for June 24 to 26.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 075, na podstawie 14 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 23 Jun 2013

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	128
AK Chambon La Forêt	023
AK Wingst	026
Szacunkowa Ap	023
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	078 - Na podstawie stacji 14

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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