Przeglądasz Archiwum z piątek, 1 listopada 2013

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2013 Nov 01 1221 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
01 Nov 2013	140	009
02 Nov 2013	140	003
03 Nov 2013	140	006

Skrót wiadomości

The sun produced one M and seven C flares during the past 24 hours. Catania sunspot region 18 (NOAA AR 11877) was responsible for the M1.9 flare peaking at 13:51 UT on October 31. Most C flares originated from Catania sunspot region 29 (NOAA AR 11884). During the next 48 hours, more C flaring activity is expected with a slight chance for an M flare, especially from Catania sunspot region 29 (NOAA AR 11884), which retains a beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. LASCO/C2 (at 18:12 UT on October 31) and LASCO/C3 observed a mainly south directed CME, which will at most only produce a glancing blow. Due to the low speed (CACTus estimation 254 km/s), no effect on geomagnetic conditions is expected. Solar wind parameters observed by ACE indicated the arrival of a weak transient at 10:00 UTC on October 31, possibly related to the CME of 15:24 UT on October 28. A slight increase in solar wind speed, temperature and density was measured. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) went to 12 nT and is now stable around 5 nT. Current solar wind speed is around 350 km/s. Geomagnetic activity is quiet to unsettled (local K at Dourbes and NOAA Kp between 0 and 3), which is expected to remain so within the next 48 hours.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 085, na podstawie 08 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 31 Oct 2013

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	138
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	143
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	008
Szacunkowa Ap	007
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	/// - Na podstawie stacji ///

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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