Przeglądasz Archiwum z czwartek, 7 listopada 2013

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2013 Nov 07 1315 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Proton event expected (10 pfu at >10 MeV)

	strumień 10cm	Ap
07 Nov 2013	156	016
08 Nov 2013	157	010
09 Nov 2013	157	006

Skrót wiadomości

Numerous C-class flares and three M-class flares were reported since yesterday's bulletin, the strongest of them being the M3.8 flare peaking at 13:46 UT yesterday in the Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890). The trailing part of this region (containing the delta sunspot) somewhat decayed, although this active region still keeps the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. We expect continuing flaring activity on the M-level, with an X-class flare possible, but not very likely. Due to the current high level of the proton flux and the position of the Catania sunspot group 35 approaching the solar central meridian, a proton event is probable. The solar wind speed is currently low (around 360 km/s). However, the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude is elevated since the early hours of today (peak value 14 nT). The currently available data does not yet allow us to conclude if this increase is due to an interaction region with a faster flow or to an ICME. The north-south IMF component reached -9 nT and stayed negative during several hours, resulting in one interval of active geomagnetic conditions (K = 4) as reported by Dourbes, IZMIRAN and NOAA. We expect unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 106, na podstawie 09 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 06 Nov 2013

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	154
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	005
Szacunkowa Ap	004
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	098 - Na podstawie stacji 07

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Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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