Przeglądasz Archiwum z sobota, 8 lutego 2014

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2014 Feb 08 1506 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	strumień 10cm	Ap
08 Feb 2014	175	025
09 Feb 2014	172	015
10 Feb 2014	167	006

Skrót wiadomości

The flaring activity of the Sun decreased significantly. The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the C3.0 flare peaking yesterday at 14:52 UT in the Catania sunspot group 28 (NOAA AR 1967), which maintains the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. Catania sunspot groups 27 and 36 (NOAA ARs 1968 and 1974 respectively) have beta-gamma configuration of the photospheric magnetic field. We expect flaring activity at the C-level with isolated M-class flares. Due to position of the Catania sunspot groups 27 and 28 (NOAA ARs 1968 and 1967 respectively) in the western hemisphere, a major CME in one of them may lead to a proton event, so we maintain the warning condition. After the arrival of an interplanetary shock yesterday (16:18 UT at ACE, 16:28 UT at SOHO), the Earth is inside a post-shock solar wind flow. Currently the solar wind speed is around 450 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude is around 10 nT. The north-south IMF component Bz was fluctuating, and K index reached 4 during four intervals (as reported by IZMIRAN and NOAA). The arrival of the ICME-driven shock associated with the partial halo CME first detected by SOHO/LASCO at 16:36 UT on February 4 is possible later today. Intervals of active (K = 4) or, less likely, minor storm (K = 5) conditions are expected.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 099, na podstawie 07 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 07 Feb 2014

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	122
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	178
AK Chambon La Forêt	027
AK Wingst	012
Szacunkowa Ap	011
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	112 - Na podstawie stacji 15

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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