Przeglądasz Archiwum z czwartek, 16 października 2014

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2014 Oct 16 1303 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
16 Oct 2014	130	007
17 Oct 2014	130	007
18 Oct 2014	130	007

Skrót wiadomości

During the past 24 hours, two high C flares were released by the backside region close to the east limb that produced both M flares on October 14 (probably this region is the return of M-flaring region NOAA AR 2173). The brightest flare reached its peak value of C7.7 at 7:37 UT on October 16. The CME associated with the M1.1 flare of October 16 (first detected by LASCO C2 at 19:00 UT on October 14) was a full halo CME, with main bulk propagating towards the southeast at an estimated speed of 923 km/s as measured on LASCO C2 and C3 imagery. The associated ICME is not expected to become geo-effective since it is backsided. In the next 48 hours, M flares are possible, especially from the region near the east limb that has produced both M flares. Over the last 24 hours the solar wind was nominal, with speeds observed by ACE varying between about 365 and 460 km/s, and current speed values around 400 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 1 and 8 nT, with current values around 6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions during the last 24 hours were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on October 16, 17 and 18.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 051, na podstawie 11 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 15 Oct 2014

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	134
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	126
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	012
Szacunkowa Ap	010
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	067 - Na podstawie stacji 23

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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