Przeglądasz Archiwum z piątek, 12 października 2018

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2018 Oct 12 1230 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetyzm

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
12 Oct 2018	071	007
13 Oct 2018	071	007
14 Oct 2018	071	029

Skrót wiadomości

The new Active Region near the East limb has produced a B1.7 flare in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 3%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR decreased from about 480 to 400 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed away from the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 0 and 6 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. A high speed stream from a negative polarity equatorial coronal hole is expected to arrive at Earth near the start of October 14, enhancing the solar wind conditions.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on October 12 and 13. Active geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on October 14 due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream from a negative polarity equatorial coronal hole, with a chance for minor storm (K Dourbes = 5) intervals.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 017, na podstawie 20 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 11 Oct 2018

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	012
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	071
AK Chambon La Forêt	015
AK Wingst	012
Szacunkowa Ap	011
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	007 - Na podstawie stacji 20

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

Wszystkie czasy w UTC

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