Przeglądasz Archiwum z czwartek, 4 marca 2021

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2021 Mar 04 1231 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetyzm

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
04 Mar 2021	074	009
05 Mar 2021	074	027
06 Mar 2021	074	019

Skrót wiadomości

The Sun did not produce any C flares during the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 20%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was mostly above the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours. Moderate values are possible in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was at moderate levels during the past 24 hours. There is a chance for moderate levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR decreased from about 615 km/s to about 490 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly oriented towards the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 7 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. The solar wind speed is expected to decrease further until the expected arrival late on March 4 or on March 5 of a high speed stream associated with a positive polarity equatorial coronal hole that crossed the Central Meridian on March 1.

Quiet to unsettled conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 4) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on March 4, 5 and 6, with a chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5) on March 5 and 6.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 030, na podstawie 08 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 03 Mar 2021

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	039
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	074
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	018
Szacunkowa Ap	020
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	032 - Na podstawie stacji 22

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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