Przeglądasz Archiwum z wtorek, 11 października 2022

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2022 Oct 11 1231 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
11 Oct 2022	163	007
12 Oct 2022	163	007
13 Oct 2022	163	007

Skrót wiadomości

There are five active regions on ths visible disc, the X-ray flux background has been at the C level in the last 24 hours. NOAA AR 3112 (beta magnetic field configuration) produced three M-class flares, the strongest was an M3.9 flare, peaking at 08:42 UT. More M-class flares can be expected in the coming 24 hours, X-flares are possible.

A slow CME with an apparent angular width of around 70 degrees was observed on 10 October (first seen in LASCO-C2 at 00:24 UT). It was directed mostly to the south east, but an Earth-directed component cannot be discarded, a glancing blow may occur on 14 October. The M-flares that occurred today were accompanied by Type-II bursts (as measured by the Humain Radioastronomy Station), no coronagraph data are available yet to confirm the presence of CMEs.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux has been above the 1000 pfu threshold in the last 24 hours, it is expected to remain elevated in the coming 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal to moderate levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed at the Earth has decreased in the last 24 hours to about 450 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude has been around 5 nT. In the next 24 hours, similar conditions are expected. Although there are small chances that the CME from 7 October arrives in the coming 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both Kp and K_Dourbes up to 3). Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours, active conditions are possible if the CME from 7 October arrives.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 100, na podstawie 19 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 10 Oct 2022

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	163
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	010
Szacunkowa Ap	010
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	113 - Na podstawie stacji 34

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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