Przeglądasz Archiwum z niedziela, 16 października 2022

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2022 Oct 16 1231 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
16 Oct 2022	115	007
17 Oct 2022	113	014
18 Oct 2022	111	007

Skrót wiadomości

There are four active regions on the visible disc, none of them created any significant flaring activity in the past 24 hours. NOAA AR 3112 (no longer visible) produced a C6.1 flare with peak at 14:32 UT on 15 October. There is a C-class flare ongoing at the moment of writing, currently at the C1 level, but the flux is still increasing. More C-class flaring can be expected for the next 24 hours.

No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain so in the coming 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

The Earth is still inside a fast solar wind stream from a negative polarity coronal hole. The solar wind speed is at 580 km/s with an interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT. We expect a return to slow solar wind conditions in the coming 24 hours, and a possible arrival of the CME from 13 October.

Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels locally (K_Dourbes up to 4) and globally (Kp up to 4). Unsettled to active conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours, with possible minor storm levels if the CME from 13 October arrives in about 24 hours.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 060, na podstawie 19 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 15 Oct 2022

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	115
AK Chambon La Forêt	023
AK Wingst	021
Szacunkowa Ap	021
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	041 - Na podstawie stacji 18

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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