Przeglądasz Archiwum z czwartek, 14 września 2023

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2023 Sep 14 1232 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
14 Sep 2023	140	007
15 Sep 2023	140	013
16 Sep 2023	140	013

Aktywne obszary słoneczne i rozbłyski

The solar flaring activity was at moderate levels, with one M-class flare and several C-class flares recorded in the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a long duration M1.4 flare, occuring at 06:40 on Sept 14 near N20W40. Low flaring activity was also produced by NOAA AR 3423 (beta class) and NOAA AR 3429 (beta-gamma class). Other regions on the disc have simple configuration of their photospheric magnetic field (alpha and beta) and did not show any significant flaring activity. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next 24 hours with C-class flares likely and M-class flares possible.

Koronalny wyrzut masy

A filament eruption occurred in the northwestern quadrant of the Sun from around 06:26 UTC on September 14th, associated to M1.4 flare. Further coronagraph data is awaited to judge any possible Earth-directed ejecta. There were no other Earth-directed CMEs detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.

Wiatr słoneczny

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) have been slightly elevated with the total interplanetary magnetic field reaching values up to 11 nT. The southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuated between -7 nT and 9 nT. The solar wind speed followed an increasing trend, rising from 360 km/s to 500 km/s. The solar wind speed is expected to continue to be elevated in the next days due to the high speed stream influence, with a further enhancement possible on Sept 14 – Sept 15 due to the predicted arrival of CME from Sept 11.

Geomagnetyzm

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were mostly quiet to unsettled (NOAA-Kp=1-3) with a single active period registered globally (NOAA-Kp=4) during the interval 00-03 UTC on Sept 14. Locally only quiet to unsettled (K-Bel=1-3) conditions were observed over Belgium. Unsettled to active condition may be possible during the next 24 hours in response to the expected high-speed stream arrival and possible CME arrival.

Poziomy przepływu protonów

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Strumienie elektronów na orbicie geostacjonarnej

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expecte to remain below this threshold for the next days.The 24h electron fluence was at normal level. The electron fluence is expected to be at normal levels in the next days.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 144, na podstawie 17 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 13 Sep 2023

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	137
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	143
AK Chambon La Forêt	025
AK Wingst	020
Szacunkowa Ap	021
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	141 - Na podstawie stacji 23

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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