Przeglądasz Archiwum z środa, 15 listopada 2023

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2023 Nov 15 1231 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	strumień 10cm	Ap
15 Nov 2023	124	007
16 Nov 2023	120	007
17 Nov 2023	116	007

Aktywne obszary słoneczne i rozbłyski

There are six active regions visible on the disk. Solar activity was driven by the active regions rotating out of view over the west limb. There is a new region that rotated into view, NOAA AR 3488 (alpha magnetic field configuration). The strongest flare was an M1.1 from NOAA AR 3485 (beta magnetic field configuration) peaking at 23:05 UTC on 14 November. More M-class flares can occur in the next 24 hours.

Koronalny wyrzut masy

No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.

Wiatr słoneczny

In the last 24 hours, the solar wind conditions at the Earth have returned to a slow wind regime. The interplanetary magnetic field is around 7nT and the solar wind speed around 450 km/s. Similar conditions can be expected in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetyzm

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled globally (NOAA KP 3) and reached active levels locally (K_Bel 4). Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Poziomy przepływu protonów

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels. Due to the proximity to the west limb of an active region producing M-class flares, a warning condition for proton events is active for the next 24 hours.

Strumienie elektronów na orbicie geostacjonarnej

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected to stay at those levels for the next 24 hours.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 036, na podstawie 15 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 14 Nov 2023

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	071
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	124
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	007
Szacunkowa Ap	005
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	060 - Na podstawie stacji 14

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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