Przeglądasz Archiwum z środa, 5 czerwca 2024

Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2024 Jun 05 1231 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
05 Jun 2024	195	006
06 Jun 2024	190	007
07 Jun 2024	190	007

Aktywne obszary słoneczne i rozbłyski

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a M3.4-flare, with peak time 08:56 UTC on June 05, from NOAA AR 3697 (beta-gamma-delta). There are currently 12 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3697 is the most complex AR (beta-gamma-delta) and responsible for the majority of the flaring activity . The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the coming day with C-class flares expected and M-class flares likely and a chance of X-class flares.

Koronalny wyrzut masy

A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) to the south west first seen in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 at 5:12 UTC on June 04 and is associated with an on disk signature of an eruption of AR 3703 near the central meridian at around 04:54 UTC. This CME is quite narrow, but will be further analysed to determine if there is an Earth directed component.

Dziury koronalne

A north-south elongated equatorial positive polarity coronal hole crossed the central meridian late June 04. A possible arrival of high- speed stream from this coronal hole may impact the Earth from June 08.

Wiatr słoneczny

The solar wind at the Earth was slow, with speeds slowly rising up to 500 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT and Bz reaching minimum value of -5nT. Slow solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetyzm

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled both globally and locally (NOAA Kp 2, Local K Bel 3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled in the next 24h.

Poziomy przepływu protonów

Over the past 24 hours, the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next day. There is a slight chance that the proton flux may increase in case of strong flaring from NOAA AR 3697.

Strumienie elektronów na orbicie geostacjonarnej

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, and is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 182, na podstawie 22 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 04 Jun 2024

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	192
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	008
Szacunkowa Ap	008
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	213 - Na podstawie stacji 22

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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