Просмотр архива за четверг, 16 января 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Существующий: 2014 Jan 16 1238 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Солнечные вспышки

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Солнечные протоны

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
16 Jan 2014	126	005
17 Jan 2014	124	006
18 Jan 2014	120	011

Bulletin

The only C-class flare reported in last 24 hours was the C1.1 flare which peaked at 06:22 on January 16. The flare originated from the active region at the East solar limb and was associated with narrow CME (about 40 degrees) which is not Earth directed. The low C-class flares are probable in the following 24 hours. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind with a speed of about 400 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is still stable with the magnitude between 2 and 3 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so in the following 24 hours. The glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave, associated with the partial halo CME first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 09:36 UT on January 14, is expected to arrive at the Earth on January 18. It may cause unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 04 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Jan 2014

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	126
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	004
Estimated Ap	003
Estimated international sunspot number	066 - Based on 10 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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