Просмотр архива за воскресенье, 2 марта 2014
Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC
Существующий: 2014 Mar 02 1123 UTC
SIDC Forecast
Солнечные вспышки
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Geomagnetism
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны
Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar 2014 | 163 | 007 |
| 03 Mar 2014 | 162 | 007 |
| 04 Mar 2014 | 162 | 007 |
Bulletin
It was again AR1982-Cat46, now behind the solar west limb, that produced the strongest flaring activity in the past 24 hours. Several C-class flares were observed early Mar 2 but these correspond to only the flaring loop tops, the real magnitude of the event was presumably larger. The largest chance for major flaring in the coming days comes from AR1991-Cat59 which is undergoing significant magnetic restructuring. We estimate M-class flaring likely and a 25% chance for an X-class flare. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 112, based on 08 stations.Solar indices for 01 Mar 2014
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 165 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| Estimated Ap | 007 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 115 - Based on 09 stations |
Noticeable events summary
| Day | Begin | Max | Конец | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 1318 | 1333 | 1340 | ---- | M1.1 | 46/1982 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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