Просмотр архива за среда, 21 мая 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Существующий: 2014 May 21 1227 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Солнечные вспышки

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Солнечные протоны

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
21 May 2014	121	006
22 May 2014	121	016
23 May 2014	121	007

Bulletin

There were two C flares during the past 24 hours. The brightest flare was a C2.3 flare released by NOAA AR 12071, peaking at 01:38 UT on May 21. LASCO C2 and C3 and STEREO COR2 A and B observed a bright CME probably associated to this flare. There is a slight chance for a glancing blow from this CME on May 24. In the next 48 hours, more C flares are likely, especially from NOAA AR 12071, 12072, and 12066. Over the last 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE gradually declined from 350 to 320 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 2 and 5 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on May 21 and 23. As an effect of an expected sector boundary crossing to a negative phi angle (toward) and the high speed stream associated to a weak southern coronal hole, there is a chance for active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes = 4) on May 22.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 20 May 2014

Wolf number Catania	089
10cm solar flux	117
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	005
Estimated Ap	004
Estimated international sunspot number	061 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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