Просмотр архива за суббота, 27 сентября 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Существующий: 2014 Sep 27 1234 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Солнечные вспышки

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Солнечные протоны

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
27 Sep 2014	173	016
28 Sep 2014	176	013
29 Sep 2014	179	007

Bulletin

Solar activity has been at low to moderate level. The largest flare occurred during a GOES 15 data gap. From PROBA2/LYRA data it is derived to be of M1 magnitude. Its peak was reported to have occurred at 8:37 UT. The second strongest event was a C7.9 flare originating from NOAA AR 2177 peaking at 16:18 UT. Some further C flares were reported including from regions 2172 and 2173. Further growth was recorded in the main regions at play 2175, 2172 and 2173. The occurrence of M class flares has become quite possible or even likely. No Earth directed CME's were recorded. Solar wind speed decreased slightly from around 460 km/s to around 420 km/s. Total magnetic field was variable mainly within the 5 to 7 nT range. Some periods with dominant negative Bz (peaks to under -6nT) were observed at the start of the reporting period as well as after UT midnight. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 2-4). Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in the first two days with later quiet to unsettled conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 109, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 26 Sep 2014

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	170
AK Chambon La Forêt	028
AK Wingst	017
Estimated Ap	018
Estimated international sunspot number	122 - Based on 14 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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