Просмотр архива за среда, 28 марта 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Существующий: 2018 Mar 28 1233 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Солнечные вспышки

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Солнечные протоны

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
28 Mar 2018	069	007
29 Mar 2018	070	022
30 Mar 2018	070	014

Bulletin

There are no sunspot regions on the visible hemisphere of the Sun but the loops of a far side active region are observed behind the East limb. Flaring level is very low. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 10%, mainly from the region behind the East limb.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR gradually decreased from about 540 to 430 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed towards the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 0.5 and 4 nT. There were no prolonged intervals with Bz below -5 nT.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on March 28. Due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream from a positive polarity, northern polar coronal hole, active geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 4) are expected on March 29 and 30, with a chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 27 Mar 2018

Wolf number Catania	000
10cm solar flux	068
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	007
Estimated Ap	007
Estimated international sunspot number	000 - Based on 17 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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