Arşiv Cuma, 20 Haziran 2003 görüntüleniyor

Güneş aktivite raporu

Solar-Jeofizik Aktivite Raporu 2003 Jun 20 2200 UTC
NOAA © SWPC tarafından hazırlanmış ve SpaceWeatherLive.com tarafından işlenmiştir.

USAF/NOAA Ortak Güneş ve Jeofizik Aktivite Raporu

SDF Numarası 171, 20 Jun 2003 üzerinden 2200Z'de Verildi

IA. 19-2100Z'den 20-2100Z'ye Solar Aktif Bölgelerin ve Aktivitenin Analizi

IB. Güneş Aktivitesi Tahmini

IIA. Jeofiziksel Aktivite Özeti 19-2100Z ila 20-2100Z

IIB. Jeofiziksel Aktivite Tahmini

III. Olay Olasılıkları 21 Jun ila 23 Jun

M Sınıfı	40%	40%	40%
X Sınıfı	10%	10%	10%
Proton	10%	10%	10%
PCAF	yellow

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Akı

  Gözlemlendi       20 Jun 117
  Tahmin edildi   21 Jun-23 Jun  115/115/120
  90 Günlük Ortalama        20 Jun 125

V. Jeomanyetik A Endeksi

  Gözlemlendi Afr/Ap 19 Jun  016/018
  Tahmini     Afr/Ap 20 Jun  010/015
  Tahmin edildi    Afr/Ap 21 Jun-23 Jun  010/015-012/015-012/020

VI. Jeomanyetik Aktivite Olasılıkları 21 Jun ila 23 Jun

A. Orta Enlemler
Aktif	15%	25%	25%
Küçük fırtına	05%	05%	10%
Büyük-şiddetli fırtına	01%	01%	01%

B. Yüksek Enlemler
Aktif	30%	30%	40%
Küçük fırtına	15%	15%	20%
Büyük-şiddetli fırtına	05%	05%	05%

99999 PLAIN K-Indices: On 16 June, it was determined that a scaling problem exists with the Boulder magnetometer instrument. While this problem, and its fix are being investigated the primary instrument for Boulder K-indices has been switched to the Boulder USGS (via Domsat) magnetometer, effective 1500 UTC on 16 June. GOES Protons: To ensure continued operational monitoring of important energetic particle data, it is necessary to reassign primary/secondary designations for the GOES Space Environment Monitor (SEM) detectors. GOES 11 (113W) is now the primary satellite for protons. GOES 12 will continue as the primary satellite for magnetometer, X-ray, and electron measurements. GOES 10 (135W) will be the secondary satellite for all SEM sensors - magnetometer, X-ray, and energetic particles. Because of the degraded state of the proton data on GOES-10, its designation as the secondary source for proton data is a short-term solution. More permanent solutions have been identified and are being evaluated. Users will be notified when we define and schedule a permanent fix. Further details can be found at http://www.sec.noaa.gov/GOES.html. 99999

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