Arşiv Perşembe, 15 Mayıs 2014 görüntüleniyor

SIDC'den güneş ve jeomanyetik aktivite hakkında günlük bülten

Yayınlandı: 2014 May 15 1251 UTC

SIDC Tahmini

Güneş patlamaları

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Jeomanyetizma

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

Güneş protonları

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm akı	Ap
15 May 2014	163	009
16 May 2014	160	009
17 May 2014	158	006

Bülten

The strongest flare in the past 24 hours was C8.3 flare peaking at 15:04 UT on May 14.The flare originated from the Catania sunspot group 43 (NOAA AR 2056) which currently has beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. No clear signatures of CME possibly associated with this flare were observed in the coronagraph data. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during last 24 hours. We expect C-class flares and possibly also an isolated M-class flares. The flaring activity is expected, in particular, from the Catania sunspot groups 43, 46, 47 (NOAA ARs 2056, 2058 and 2060, respectively) and newly emerged NOAA AR 2063. All these active regions (with an exception of NOAA AR 2063) are currently situated in the western solar hemisphere, a major eruption in one of them may lead to a proton event, so we issue warning condition for a proton event. The solar wind speed is low (about 350 km/s), and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is stable having value of about 6 nT. The fast flow associated with the small equatorial corona hole which reached the central meridian on May 12 is expected to arrive at the Earth today, although its arrival is not very probable. We expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions.

Bugünün tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı (ISN): 1 Tahmini gunes lekesi sayisi, 2 Istasyon sayisi.

14 May 2014 için güneş endeksleri

Kurt numarası Catania	///
10cm güneş akısı	163
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	005
Tahmini Ap	005
Tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı	114 - 22 istasyonlarına göre

Dikkat çeken olayların özeti

Güneş Etkileri Veri Analiz Merkezi tarafından sağlanmıştır© - SIDC - SpaceWeatherLive tarafından işlendi

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