Arşiv Perşembe, 14 Mart 2019 görüntüleniyor

SIDC'den güneş ve jeomanyetik aktivite hakkında günlük bülten

Yayınlandı: 2019 Mar 14 1241 UTC

SIDC Tahmini

Güneş patlamaları

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Jeomanyetizma

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Güneş protonları

Quiet

	10cm akı	Ap
14 Mar 2019	070	013
15 Mar 2019	070	020
16 Mar 2019	070	011

Bülten

Solar activity was low with X-ray flux remaining below B level. A new small bipolar region (Catania group 10) formed overnight but has by now almost lost its spots already. X-ray flux is expected to remain below C level.

Coronagraph images show a faint and slow Eastward CME in the morning of March 12. It is also and more clearly visible in STEREO A COR2 images moving there towards the West. This confirms the CME is heading towards a direction in between Earth and STEREO A. It's speed is estimated not to exceed background solar wind. While it is not excluded that a component of the CME reaches Earth by late March 16 or March 17, its effects should be minimal. No other Earth directed CME's have been detected in coronagraph data.

The Solar proton flux levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind conditions were close to nominal with solar wind speed in the 320-370 km/s range and total magnetic field around a nominal 5nT. Since after 2:00UT magnetic field orientation suggests the passage of a magnetic structure possibly associated to the March 9 CME. Solar wind conditions are expected to become enhanced later today or tomorrow due to the expected high speed stream from the equatorial coronal hole that crossed central meridian late March 10. Towards March 17 there is a small possibility of some slow CME transients assoicated to the March 12 CME.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 0-2) and are expected to become unsettled with a possibility for active periods under high speed stream influence.

Bugünün tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı (ISN): 1 Tahmini gunes lekesi sayisi, 2 Istasyon sayisi.

13 Mar 2019 için güneş endeksleri

Kurt numarası Catania	000
10cm güneş akısı	071
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	004
Tahmini Ap	003
Tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı	000 - 20 istasyonlarına göre

Dikkat çeken olayların özeti

Güneş Etkileri Veri Analiz Merkezi tarafından sağlanmıştır© - SIDC - SpaceWeatherLive tarafından işlendi

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