Arşiv Pazar, 20 Ekim 2019 görüntüleniyor

SIDC'den güneş ve jeomanyetik aktivite hakkında günlük bülten

Yayınlandı: 2019 Oct 20 1230 UTC

SIDC Tahmini

Güneş patlamaları

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Jeomanyetizma

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Güneş protonları

Quiet

	10cm akı	Ap
20 Oct 2019	066	020
21 Oct 2019	066	021
22 Oct 2019	066	007

Bülten

The Sun is spotless and did not produce any flares in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at only 1%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by ACE varied between about 315 and 385 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly oriented away from the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 6 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. Enhanced solar wind conditions are possible on October 20 and 21, with the expected arrival of a high speed stream associated with a recurrent, negative polarity, narrow coronal hole that spans from the South pole to the equator.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active to minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 4-5) are possible on October 20 and 21, due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream associated with a recurrent, negative polarity, narrow coronal hole that spans from the South pole to the equator. A return to quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) is expected on October 22.

Bugünün tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı (ISN): 1 Tahmini gunes lekesi sayisi, 2 Istasyon sayisi.

19 Oct 2019 için güneş endeksleri

Kurt numarası Catania	///
10cm güneş akısı	066
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	006
Tahmini Ap	004
Tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı	000 - 18 istasyonlarına göre

Dikkat çeken olayların özeti

Güneş Etkileri Veri Analiz Merkezi tarafından sağlanmıştır© - SIDC - SpaceWeatherLive tarafından işlendi

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