Arşiv Çarşamba, 5 Haziran 2024 görüntüleniyor

SIDC'den güneş ve jeomanyetik aktivite hakkında günlük bülten

Yayınlandı: 2024 Jun 05 1231 UTC

SIDC Tahmini

Güneş patlamaları

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Jeomanyetizma

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Güneş protonları

Quiet

	10cm akı	Ap
05 Jun 2024	195	006
06 Jun 2024	190	007
07 Jun 2024	190	007

Güneş Aktif Bölgeleri ve parlama

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a M3.4-flare, with peak time 08:56 UTC on June 05, from NOAA AR 3697 (beta-gamma-delta). There are currently 12 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3697 is the most complex AR (beta-gamma-delta) and responsible for the majority of the flaring activity . The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the coming day with C-class flares expected and M-class flares likely and a chance of X-class flares.

Koronal Kütle Atılımı

A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) to the south west first seen in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 at 5:12 UTC on June 04 and is associated with an on disk signature of an eruption of AR 3703 near the central meridian at around 04:54 UTC. This CME is quite narrow, but will be further analysed to determine if there is an Earth directed component.

Koronal delikler

A north-south elongated equatorial positive polarity coronal hole crossed the central meridian late June 04. A possible arrival of high- speed stream from this coronal hole may impact the Earth from June 08.

Güneş rüzgarı

The solar wind at the Earth was slow, with speeds slowly rising up to 500 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT and Bz reaching minimum value of -5nT. Slow solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Jeomanyetizma

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled both globally and locally (NOAA Kp 2, Local K Bel 3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled in the next 24h.

Proton akı seviyeleri

Over the past 24 hours, the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next day. There is a slight chance that the proton flux may increase in case of strong flaring from NOAA AR 3697.

Jeostatik yörüngedeki elektron akıları

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, and is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Bugünün tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı (ISN): 1 Tahmini gunes lekesi sayisi, 2 Istasyon sayisi.

04 Jun 2024 için güneş endeksleri

Kurt numarası Catania	///
10cm güneş akısı	192
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	008
Tahmini Ap	008
Tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı	213 - 22 istasyonlarına göre

Dikkat çeken olayların özeti

Güneş Etkileri Veri Analiz Merkezi tarafından sağlanmıştır© - SIDC - SpaceWeatherLive tarafından işlendi

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