Перегляд архіву середа, 9 липня 2014

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2014 Jul 09 1229 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
09 Jul 2014	200	013
10 Jul 2014	198	011
11 Jul 2014	195	006

Бюлетень

Catania sunspot regions 6 and 9 (NOAA 2108 and 2109 respectively) are still the largest and most complex regions on the solar disk. However Catania region 16 (NOAA AR 2113) has also grown, developed to a beta-gamma region and was most active during the past period. Two M-class and five C-class flares were detected by GOES X-ray. A M1.2 flare, peaking at 00:26 UT on July 9, and an M6.5 flare, peaking at 16:20 UT on July 8, originated from Catania region 16. The M6.5-flare was associated with dimming, type II and IV radio bursts and a partial halo CME. The CME was first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 16:36 UT, had an angular width of 126 degrees and a projected plane of the sky speed of 466 km/s (as reported by the CACTus software). The bulk of the CME mass was ejected east from the Sun-Earth line. The arrival of a glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave is possible in the evening of July 11. Flaring activity is expected to continue with C-class flares and possibly an isolated M-class flare. Solar wind speed is stable near 350 km/s, as measured by ACE. The magnitude of interplanetary magnetic field obtained values between 3 and 8 nT with a mainly negative Bz component. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a fast speed stream that may result in active conditions within the next 24 hours.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 124, за даними 09 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 08 Jul 2014

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	201
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	010
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	009
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	142 - За даними 16 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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