Перегляд архіву четвер, 4 серпня 2016

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2016 Aug 04 1249 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Геомагнетизм

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
04 Aug 2016	075	019
05 Aug 2016	075	019
06 Aug 2016	075	007

Бюлетень

Solar activity was very low. No C flares were observed. Solar activity is expected to remain very low (no C flaring) for the next 24 hours. A filament eruption in the NE quadrant was observed by PROBA2/SWAP and Big Bear H alpha between about 16h and 19h UT on August 3. An associated CME was first registered by LASCO C2 at 18:12 UT. Further analysis is required to evaluate the possible geo-effects of this CME. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR suddenly increased from about 430 to 580 km/s between 12:00 UT and 13:50 UT on August 3, indicating the arrival of a high speed stream associated with a positive coronal hole. This implies that the earlier solar wind enhancements on August 2 and 3 were most probably due to the arrival of the CME of July 28. Meanwhile, solar wind speed has gradually increased to 620 km/s while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field has been around 5 nT. In the past 24 hours, quiet to minor storm geomagnetic levels were registered (K Dourbes between 2 and 5; NOAA Kp between 3 and 4). Active levels (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on August 4 and 5 under the influence of the coronal hole high speed stream, with a slight chance for a minor geomagnetic storm (K Dourbes = 5). A return to quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions is expected on August 6.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 007, за даними 16 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 03 Aug 2016

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	075
AK Chambon La Forêt	046
AK Wingst	037
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	040
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	000 - За даними 24 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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