Перегляд архіву середа, 9 листопада 2016

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2016 Nov 09 1230 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Геомагнетизм

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
09 Nov 2016	078	013
10 Nov 2016	078	014
11 Nov 2016	078	034

Бюлетень

Solar activity was very low. No C flares were observed in the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain very low (no C flaring) for the next 24 hours. A filament eruption occurred near 25E 15N around 1:00 UT on November 9, with an associated bright CME registered by LASCO C2 around 1:25 UT. The CME is directed towards the NNE and extends from NE to E, with an estimated speed of 933 km/s, obtained by geometrical modelling from LASCO C2, C3 and STEREO COR2 A images. There is a chance for a glancing blow from this CME on November 11. A small shock in the solar wind was registered by DSCOVR at 5:43 UT on November 9. Solar wind speed jumped from about 300 to 330 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) jumped from about 4.5 to 7.5 nT. Proton density jumped from about 12 to 25 particles per cc. This is probably due to the arrival of the November 5 CME. Current solar wind speed is about 340 km/s and current IMF is about 6 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. Due to the arrival of the CME of November 5, active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on November 9, with a slight chance for minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 5). On November 10 and 11, active to moderate storm conditions (K Dourbes between 4 and 6) are possible due to the expected arrival of a negative coronal hole high speed stream.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 000, за даними 09 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 08 Nov 2016

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	077
AK Chambon La Forêt	005
AK Wingst	003
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	002
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	000 - За даними 20 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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