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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2017 May 14 1232 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Геомагнетизм

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
14 May 2017	070	013
15 May 2017	070	014
16 May 2017	069	008

Бюлетень

There are still no numbered active regions on the visible side of the Sun and the solar activity remains to be on the extremely low level (no reported flares). We do not expect change in the level of the solar activity in the coming hours. Very faint partial halo CME (angular width of about 170 degrees), was first time seen by SOHO/LASCO C2 at about 22:00 UT on May 13. From the presently available observations it seems that the CME might be associated with the faint filament eruption from the south solar hemisphere. This will be confirmed when more data becomes available. The bulk of the CME mass was directed southward of the Sun-Earth line. If the eruption indeed had origin on the visible side of the Sun (to be confirmed) we could expect the glancing blow from the associated CME-driven shock wave. The solar wind speed is presently about 320 km/s, and slowly increasing. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 9 nT. At about 10 UT today, the increase of the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude (with oscillations of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field) simultaneously with the decrease of density and slow increase of the solar wind speed and temperature, was observed. All this indicates possible arrival of the fast solar wind associated with extended equatorial coronal hole. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet. The unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in the coming hours. However, isolated interval of the minor storm conditions (Kp=5) is also possible.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 000, за даними 26 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 13 May 2017

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	070
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	005
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	004
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	000 - За даними 23 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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