Перегляд архіву середа, 3 липня 2019

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2019 Jul 03 1230 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
03 Jul 2019	067	006
04 Jul 2019	067	007
05 Jul 2019	067	024

Бюлетень

The visible side of the Sun is spotless and did not produce any flares in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at only 1%. A filament eruption was observed in SDO/AIA images around 14:30 UT on July 2 near N45E35, but no associated CMEs were seen in LASCO and COR2 A images.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by ACE varied between about 290 and 330 km/s until about 10h UT on July 3, when it rose to values around 370 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was directed predominantly away from the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 8 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. Solar wind conditions are expected to stay nominal until the expected arrival on July 5 of a high speed stream from a small, recurrent, negative polarity equatorial coronal hole that crossed the central meridian on July 1.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on July 3 and 4. Active intervals (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on July 5 due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream from a small, recurrent, negative polarity equatorial coronal hole that crossed the central meridian on July 1, with a chance for minor geomagnetic storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 000, за даними 24 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 02 Jul 2019

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	067
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	007
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	005
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	000 - За даними 30 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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