Перегляд архіву пʼятниця, 10 січня 2020

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2020 Jan 10 1230 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Proton event expected (10 pfu at >10 MeV)

	10 см потік	Ap
10 Jan 2020	074	008
11 Jan 2020	074	007
12 Jan 2020	074	007

Бюлетень

The solar activity has been at low levels over the past 24 hours. Two small bipolar sunspots are currently visible on the disc: Catania sunspots group 26 (NOAA AR-2756) in the North-West quadrant of the Sun, and Catania sunspot group 27, whish is the region close to the equator that turned over the East limb on Jan 07 and produced a narrow coronal mass ejection. No significant flaring activity has been observed in these regions and the X-ray flux remained below C-level. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels with a small chances of C-class flare and possibly slow coronal mass ejections for the next 24 hours.

No earth-directed coronal mass ejection was identified in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

The solar wind environment near Earth was under the influence of the coronal hole high-speed streams. The solar wind speed increased from 400 km/s to about 590 km/s, the total magnetic field fluctuated between 2 nT and 7.6 nT, and the southern component of the magnetic filed was between -6 nT and 5.3 nT (as recorded by the ACE spacecraft). Currently the solar wind speed is decreasing and ranges around 500 km/s. We expect the solar wind parameters to return slowly towards an ambient background and slow solar wind speed regime in the next two days. An extension to the North Polar coronal hole (positive polarity), and a positive polarity equatorial coronal hole reached the central meridian today. The high-speed stream coming from those two coronal holes is expected to enhance the solar wind environment near Earth in more than 2-3 days from now.

Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed in response to the solar wind enhancement. Quiet to unsettle conditions is expected for the next 24 hours.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 000, за даними 16 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 09 Jan 2020

Число Вольфа, Катанія	016
Сонячний потік 10 см	074
AK Chambon La Forêt	016
AK Wingst	012
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	012
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	015 - За даними 18 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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