Перегляд архіву середа, 23 серпня 2023

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2023 Aug 23 1231 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
23 Aug 2023	151	007
24 Aug 2023	153	007
25 Aug 2023	155	007

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

There are eight active regions visible on the disk, a new region rotated over the east limb (NOAA AR 3415). They all have simple alpha or beta magnetic field configuration. An M1.1 flare occurred on 22 August, with peak at 23:04 UTC, from NOAA AR 3405. C-class flares are expected and M-class flares are possible in the next 24 hours.

Корональні викиди маси

A wide CME (angular width around 80 degrees) erupted to the west, first seen at 19:00 UTC on 22 August by LASCO-C2. The source region of this CME is slightly backsided and thus the CME will not arrive to the Earth. About 1 hour later, a faint CME could be seen erupting towards the southeast, related to dimmings seen on EUV around NOAA ARs 3405 and 3411 (this activity is also related to the M1.1 flare from NOAA AR 3405). Due to the location of the dimmings (close to disk center), a possible arrival to the Earth of this faint CME cannot be discarded (on 26 August). Later on, one more faint CME erupted from NOAA AR 3404, in the vicinity of the previous eruption and first seen at 02:00 UTC by LASCO-C2. This last CME will most likely not affect Earth (although more data will be investigated as it becomes available).

Сонячний вітер

The Earth is inside a slow solar wind stream, with speed around 430 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field orientation was predominantly in the negative sector (field directed towards the Sun). Similar conditions can be expected in the next 24 hours.

Геомагнетизм

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet (NOAA KP 1-2, K Bel 1-2). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Рівні потоку протонів

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu threshold as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 105, за даними 23 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 22 Aug 2023

Число Вольфа, Катанія	127
Сонячний потік 10 см	151
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	008
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	008
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	119 - За даними 28 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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