Перегляд архіву четвер, 7 грудня 2023

Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2023 Dec 07 1248 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
07 Dec 2023	131	007
08 Dec 2023	131	007
09 Dec 2023	131	007

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

Solar flaring activity was moderat over past 24 hours with an M-class flare and several C-class flares. The M2.3-class flares was produced by the bipolar active region NOAA 3513 with a peak time at 22:01. This egion also produced several C-class flares. The currently most complex region, NOAA 3511, with a beta-gamma magnetic class, was stable producing several C-class flares. The other region, NOAA 3507, also produced C-class flares. C-class flares are expected in the next 24 hours with some chances of M-class flare from NOAA 3513 and possibly NOAA 3511.

Корональні викиди маси

No Earth directed coronal mass ejection was identified in the currently available SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronographe images.

Корональні діри

A new mid-latitude south coronal hole has now reach the central median.

Сонячний вітер

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions near Earth remained affected by the High-Speed Stream (HSS) from the large equatorial coronal hole that crossed the central meridian on Saturday 2 of December. The SW speed decreased from 628 km/s and 478 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) was below 5.0 nT. The North-South magnetic component (Bz) ranged between -3.6 and 3.5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was negative (directed towards the Sun) during the past 24 hours. The SW conditions are expected to returned to a slow solar wind regime in the next 24 hours.

Геомагнетизм

Geomagnetic conditions were mainly quiet to unsettle both globally and locally (NOAA-Kp and K-BEL 1 to 3) during the last 24 hours. We expect mainly quiet conditions in the next 24 hours in response to the return of the slow solar wind conditions.

Рівні потоку протонів

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, went above the the 1000 pfu alert threshold during the last 24 hours due to the ongoing fast solar wind condition. It is expected to remain close to 1000 pfu during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at low levels during the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels for the following 24 hours with also some increases due to the ongoing solar wind conditions.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 126, за даними 06 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 06 Dec 2023

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	130
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	012
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	012
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	147 - За даними 15 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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