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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2025 Aug 25 1231 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10 см потік	Ap
25 Aug 2025	152	007
26 Aug 2025	156	016
27 Aug 2025	160	007

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 2 M-class flares identified. They both originated at a (yet) unnumbered region rotating into view over the east limb (close to the equator). The largest flare was an M4.5 flare peaking at 05:24 UTC. Most of the flaring activity (including several C-class flares) is located on the eastern hemisphere of the Sun. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares likely and a small chance for X-class flares.

Корональні викиди маси

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the last 24 hours.

Корональні діри

SIDC Coronal Hole 126 (northern mid-latitude coronal hole with negative polarity) is located in the western hemisphere and its related high speed solar wind streamm may arrive to the Earth on 26 August.

Сонячний вітер

The Earth is inside slow solar wind with speeds around 410 km/s and interplanetary magnetic fields of about 8 nT (directed towards the Sun, negative polarity). In about 24 hours, the arrival of a high speed stream is expected.

Геомагнетизм

Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (Kp and B_Bel between 0 and 2). Similar conditions are expected until the arrival of the high speed solar wind stream on 26 August (mostly active conditions expected then).

Рівні потоку протонів

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux has been slowly and gradually increasing since 22 August, and it is now close to the 10 pfu threshold. A warning condition forecast is issued for the next 48 hours.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and 19 remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold (except for a minimal crossing of the threshold around 16:00 and 23:00 UTC on 24 August), similar conditions expected for the next 24 hours. The 24 h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 136, за даними 26 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 24 Aug 2025

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	152
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	006
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	005
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	111 - За даними 29 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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