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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2026 Jan 30 1231 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
30 Jan 2026	127	008
31 Jan 2026	125	007
01 Feb 2026	123	004

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. A total of 12 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk over the past 24 hours. All regions are relatively small and remain magnetically simple (classified as magnetic type alpha or beta). The strongest flaring activity was a C1.7 flare (SIDC Flare 6760) with peak time 08:63 UTC on Jan 30, produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 781 (NOAA Active Region 4363) near the east limb. The solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours with very likely C-class flares and small chances for M-class flaring.

Корональні викиди маси

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

Сонячний вітер

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (as measured by ACE at L1) were under a waning influence of a high speed stream related to the negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 147). The solar wind speed was gradually decreasing with values varying in the range of 517 km/s to 781 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (B) has decreased reaching a maximum value of 6.2 nT with a minimum north-south (Bz) component of - 5.7 nT. The B field phi angle remained predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun) reflecting the polarity of the geo-effective SIDC Coronal Hole 147. The solar wind parameters are expected to follow a gradual trend towards nominal slow solar wind conditions over the next 24 hours and register nominal values thereafter.

Геомагнетизм

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours have been quiet to active. Predominantly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours with chances for isolated active periods under the waning influence of a high speed stream. Mostly quiet conditions are expected thereafter.

Рівні потоку протонів

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and it is expected to remain so over the next days.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was exceeding the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain above the 1000 pfu threshold for prolonged periods of time over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to increase towards the border of moderate to high levels over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is expected to remain at or above moderate levels over the next days.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 091, за даними 10 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 29 Jan 2026

Число Вольфа, Катанія	163
Сонячний потік 10 см	129
AK Chambon La Forêt	030
AK Wingst	031
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	028
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	104 - За даними 12 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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