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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2026 Feb 06 1231 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10 см потік	Ap
06 Feb 2026	176	007
07 Feb 2026	176	007
08 Feb 2026	176	007

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

A total of 8 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Six M-class flares were observed in the last 24 hours, from three different active regions. The largest flare was a M2.2 flare (SIDC Flare 6919) peaking on February 05 at 19:34 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 783 (NOAA Active Region 4362). SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366) currently located at N13W19 remains the most complex and largest region visible, although it has stopped growing. More M-class flares are very likely in the next 24 hous, and X-class flares are still possible.

Корональні викиди маси

A partial-halo CME was observed in LASCO C2 starting at 23:24 UTC on 5 February, with an angular width of approximately 200 degrees and most of the material directed toward the northeast. This CME is backsided and is not expected to reach Earth. Earlier on 5 February, LASCO C2 observed a CME at 15:48 UTC associated with an M1.8 flare from SIDC Sunspot Group 783 (NOAA Active Region 4362), currently located at S18W21. A second CME from the same active region, associated with an M2.2 flare, was detected at 20:00 UTC. Both CMEs are faint, slow, and directed primarily southward, and are therefore not expected to affect Earth.

Корональні діри

SIDC Coronal Hole 136 (equatorial coronal hole with a negative polarity) is on the western hemisphere. SIDC Coronal Hole 142 (mid-latitude coronal hole with a negative polarity) is higher in latitude and has just crossed the central meridian.

Сонячний вітер

The solar wind at Earth has remained at elevated speeds, near 600 km/s, in the wake of the ICME that arrived on 4 February and under the influence of a high-speed stream from SIDC Coronal Hole 136 with negative polarity (towards the Sun). The interplanetary magnetic field is around 7 nT, with a positive Bz component. A gradual decrease toward a slow solar- wind regime is expected over the next 24 hours.

Геомагнетизм

Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled in the last 24 hours (Kp and K_Bel up to 3). Similar conditions, with possible active periods, can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Рівні потоку протонів

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold in the last 24 hours. A warning condition has been issued for the next 24 hours due to the high solar activity.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 has been below the 1000 pfu threshold for the last 24 hours. Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 135, за даними 03 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 05 Feb 2026

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	176
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	020
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	020
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	136 - За даними 13 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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